Matchup overview
St. Louis City SC face New York Red Bulls in MLS action at , scheduled for Wednesday, September 30 at 11:30 PM UTC.
New York Red Bulls enter ranked #0 with a 0% win rate this season, while St. Louis City SC sit at #0 on 0%.
SportsAI.ML model prediction
Our multi-model ensemble makes St. Louis City SC the projected winner, assigning a 91% win probability against New York Red Bulls. Model agreement on this outcome is 100%, producing an overall confidence rating of 87/100.
This is one of the stronger reads on the slate — the models converge cleanly on St. Louis City SC.
Odds & market value
St. Louis City SC are priced at 1.35 in decimal terms, a market-implied probability of 74%. Removing the bookmaker margin (the "vig") gives a fair two-way probability of 88%.
Because our model's 91% estimate sits above the 88% fair line, there is a positive projected edge of 3.0 points, translating to an expected value of 22.9% per unit staked.
- Decimal odds: 1.35
- Market-implied probability: 74%
- No-vig fair probability: 88%
- Model probability: 91%
- Projected edge: 3.0 pts
Form & head-to-head
New York Red Bulls come in on recent form of (most recent first), averaging 0 scored and 0 conceded per game. St. Louis City SC show , at 0 for and 0 against.
Across their last 0 meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0, St. Louis City SC 0, with 0 drawn.
Verdict
SportsAI.ML leans St. Louis City SC at 1.35, where the model sees genuine value versus the closing-adjusted fair line. Confidence: 87/100.
This preview updates automatically as odds and model outputs change. It is AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only and is not betting advice.