Matchup overview
Payton Talbott face Deiveson Figueiredo in MMA action at , scheduled for Sunday, October 4 at 1:45 AM UTC.
Deiveson Figueiredo enter ranked #0 with a 0% win rate this season, while Payton Talbott sit at #0 on 0%.
SportsAI.ML model prediction
Our multi-model ensemble makes Payton Talbott the projected winner, assigning a 84% win probability against Deiveson Figueiredo. Model agreement on this outcome is 100%, producing an overall confidence rating of 81/100.
This is one of the stronger reads on the slate — the models converge cleanly on Payton Talbott.
Odds & market value
Payton Talbott are priced at 1.14 in decimal terms, a market-implied probability of 88%. Removing the bookmaker margin (the "vig") gives a fair two-way probability of 84%.
Because our model's 84% estimate sits above the 84% fair line, there is a positive projected edge of 0.4 points, translating to an expected value of -4.2% per unit staked.
- Decimal odds: 1.14
- Market-implied probability: 88%
- No-vig fair probability: 84%
- Model probability: 84%
- Projected edge: 0.4 pts
Form & head-to-head
Deiveson Figueiredo come in on recent form of (most recent first), averaging 0 scored and 0 conceded per game. Payton Talbott show , at 0 for and 0 against.
Across their last 0 meetings, Deiveson Figueiredo have won 0, Payton Talbott 0, with 0 drawn.
Verdict
SportsAI.ML leans Payton Talbott at 1.14, where the model sees genuine value versus the closing-adjusted fair line. Confidence: 81/100.
This preview updates automatically as odds and model outputs change. It is AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only and is not betting advice.