Matchup overview
Diego Lopes face Charles Oliveira in MMA action at , scheduled for Sunday, December 13 at 4:00 AM UTC.
Charles Oliveira enter ranked #0 with a 0% win rate this season, while Diego Lopes sit at #0 on 0%.
SportsAI.ML model prediction
Our multi-model ensemble makes Charles Oliveira the projected winner, assigning a 58% win probability against Diego Lopes. Model agreement on this outcome is 100%, producing an overall confidence rating of 57/100.
This is a closer read, so the projected edge should be weighed against the tighter model spread.
Odds & market value
Charles Oliveira are priced at 1.66 in decimal terms, a market-implied probability of 60%. Removing the bookmaker margin (the "vig") gives a fair two-way probability of 58%.
Because our model's 58% estimate sits above the 58% fair line, there is a positive projected edge of 0.5 points, translating to an expected value of -3.7% per unit staked.
- Decimal odds: 1.66
- Market-implied probability: 60%
- No-vig fair probability: 58%
- Model probability: 58%
- Projected edge: 0.5 pts
Form & head-to-head
Charles Oliveira come in on recent form of (most recent first), averaging 0 scored and 0 conceded per game. Diego Lopes show , at 0 for and 0 against.
Across their last 0 meetings, Charles Oliveira have won 0, Diego Lopes 0, with 0 drawn.
Verdict
SportsAI.ML leans Charles Oliveira at 1.66, where the model sees genuine value versus the closing-adjusted fair line. Confidence: 57/100.
This preview updates automatically as odds and model outputs change. It is AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only and is not betting advice.