Matchup overview
Alden Coria face Imanol Rodriguez in MMA action at , scheduled for Sunday, October 4 at 12:00 AM UTC.
Imanol Rodriguez enter ranked #0 with a 0% win rate this season, while Alden Coria sit at #0 on 0%.
SportsAI.ML model prediction
Our multi-model ensemble makes Imanol Rodriguez the projected winner, assigning a 59% win probability against Alden Coria. Model agreement on this outcome is 100%, producing an overall confidence rating of 58/100.
This is a closer read, so the projected edge should be weighed against the tighter model spread.
Odds & market value
Imanol Rodriguez are priced at 1.63 in decimal terms, a market-implied probability of 61%. Removing the bookmaker margin (the "vig") gives a fair two-way probability of 59%.
Because our model's 59% estimate sits above the 59% fair line, there is a positive projected edge of 0.3 points, translating to an expected value of -3.8% per unit staked.
- Decimal odds: 1.63
- Market-implied probability: 61%
- No-vig fair probability: 59%
- Model probability: 59%
- Projected edge: 0.3 pts
Form & head-to-head
Imanol Rodriguez come in on recent form of (most recent first), averaging 0 scored and 0 conceded per game. Alden Coria show , at 0 for and 0 against.
Across their last 0 meetings, Imanol Rodriguez have won 0, Alden Coria 0, with 0 drawn.
Verdict
SportsAI.ML leans Imanol Rodriguez at 1.63, where the model sees genuine value versus the closing-adjusted fair line. Confidence: 58/100.
This preview updates automatically as odds and model outputs change. It is AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only and is not betting advice.